As a Gas Forecasting Analyst, you’ll be responsible for developing and managing both long-term and short-term gas demand forecasts throughout the customers contracted period. You will ensure all submissions to the market operator are compliant with regulations. Accurate and timely forecasts enable the trading team to make informed decisions to minimize market exposure.
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You’ll be working in a small but high-performing Gas Forecasting team, engaging and collaborating with stakeholders within the Trading & Supply and Gas Retail teams, with the purpose of supporting the Integrated Performance Unit.

Your key responsibilities & accountabilities include the following:

• Develop and maintain long-term and short-term demand forecasts in Gas retail markets and associated Environmental product markets for Commercial & Industrial (C&I) and Mass Market (B2C) segments
• Manage and monitor gas demand forecast and Gas Bulletin Board (GBB) submissions to the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO), ensuring ongoing compliance is demonstrated
• Ensure long-term and short-term forecasts are submitted to Trading in an accurate and timely manner
• Continually analyze and update forecasts based on the latest data to include changes in customer usage or growth expectations, expected future outages and scheduled maintenance
• Review and track forecasting performance and report on forecasting accuracy to drive continuous improvement
• Build and maintain relationships with external stakeholders (customers and market & pipeline operators) and internal stakeholders (Trading, Retail, Middle Office and IT)
• Assist with the development and maintenance of forecasting models to ensure accuracy standards are met
• Continually drive integration, enhancement and improvement of existing processes and tools to deliver simplification and automation
• Contribute to new product development and/or new market entry to accommodate business growth
• Review, update and maintain processes and procedures on an ongoing basis.
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Crucial to the success of this role is the ability to understand the importance of timely and accurate long-term and short-term demand forecasts to internal and external stakeholders and ensuring adherence with all regulatory and compliance requirements.

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To succeed in this role, you will have:

• Superior levels of accuracy and attention to detail with proven data analysis and analytical skills
• Demonstrated ability to work in a team and independently in an operational role within a high compliance/regulatory environment
• Self-starter with a proactive approach to problem-solving and troubleshooting issues
• Exceptional verbal and written communication skills with strong team collaboration and stakeholder engagement across all levels
• Excellent organisational and time management skills, ability to work under pressure and prioritise tasks to meet tight timeframes
• Advanced proficiency of Microsoft Excel and experience using PowerBI and Databricks and/or understanding of programming languages (Python, SQL, VBA) is highly regarded
• Industry experience or knowledge of AEMO’s Wholesale (STTM, DWGM) and Retail Gas Markets is desirable.

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What we offer

You bring your skills and experience to Shell and in return you work with talented, committed people on one of the most important challenges facing our planet. You’ll have the opportunity to develop the skills you need to grow in an environment where we value honesty, integrity, and respect for one another. You’ll be able to balance your priorities as you become the best version of yourself.

• Progress as a person as we work on the energy transition together.
• Continuously grow the transferable skills you need to get ahead.
• Work at the forefront of technology, trends, and practices.
• Collaborate with experienced colleagues with unique expertise.
• Achieve your balance in a values-led culture that encourages you to be the best version of yourself.
• Benefit from flexible working hours, and the possibility of remote/mobile working.
• Perform at your best with a competitive starting salary and annual performance-related salary increase – our pay and benefits packages are considered to be among the best in the world.
• Take advantage of paid parental leave, including for non-birthing parents.
• Join an organisation working to become one of the most diverse and inclusive in the world. We strongly encourage applicants of all genders, ages, ethnicities, cultures, abilities, sexual orientation, and life experiences to apply.
• Grow as you progress through diverse career opportunities in national and
• international teams.
• Gain access to a wide range of training and development programmes.

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Shell in Australia

Shell has operated in Australia since 1901. From operating Australia’s first oil refinery, which was central to meeting Australia’s fuel needs, to fuelling the first Qantas commercial flight in the 1920s, to playing a foundation role in building some of Australia’s largest and most innovative natural resource developments.
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Throughout this 124-year relationship the needs of our customers and the nation have changed and we have continued transforming our portfolio to meet these needs. Today, we are a leading natural gas producer and are playing our part in the transition to a low-carbon future by investing in the power sector, renewable energy sources and carbon abatement activities.
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Shell has a significant Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) business in Australia that makes a valuable contribution to today’s energy supply. This integrated gas portfolio includes our two Shell-operated gas production and liquefaction businesses, Shell QGC in Queensland and Prelude Floating LNG offshore in Western Australia, and our joint venture interests in Gorgon and North West Shelf in Western Australia and Arrow Energy in Queensland.